Umbutho wamva nje weNational Retail Federation US ocean report report report that the relative volume strength - about two million TEU - kuqikelelwa ngo August iya kuqhubeka ukuya kutsho ngoOkthobha, ebonakalisa ithemba elongeziweyo phakathi kwabathumeli bangaphandle ngamandla omthengi ngelixesha leeholide, ngokutsho kwendawo yentengiso yempahla iFreightos.
Olu qikelelo lunemiqulu ye-6-7 yepesenti ephezulu ngoSeptemba nango-Okthobha, ilandelwa kukuntywila okuphakathi ngoNovemba nangoDisemba, kunye nemiqulu emalunga ne-15 yeepesenti ephezulu kunobhubhane. La mandla e-Q4 kade aya kuba luphawu olunokwenzeka lomjikelo wokubuyisela isitokhwe ngokubanzi, njengoko ezi mpahla ziya kufika kade kakhulu kwiiholide.
Idatha yamva nje evela kushishino lwe-elektroniki ibonisa iimpawu zethemba lokuba imfuno yamacandelo kunye neemveliso zokugqibela ziya kuphinda zibuyele ekupheleni konyaka.
Iintsingiselo zevolumu
Imithamo yothutho iye yanda kancinci, ngokutsho kwedatha eqokelelwe yiDescartes 'software yorhwebo yehlabathi iDescartes Datamyne. Umthamo wokungeniswa kweekhonteyina zase-US ngo-Agasti unyuke kancinci xa kuthelekiswa noJulayi ka-2023, ohambelana ngokufanelekileyo nokunyuka okwenzeka kwixesha lexesha eliphakamileyo kwiminyaka engeyiyo yobhubhane. Ngaphandle kokunyuka komthamo, amaxesha okuhamba kwezibuko ahlala ekufutshane nawona manqanaba asezantsi ukusukela oko i-Descartes yaqala ukubalandela.
Ukulandela isisombululo sengxabano yabasebenzi, amazibuko aseWest Coast afumene isabelo semarike, utshilo uDescartes. Amazibuko oNxweme oluseNtshona eLos Angeles naseLong Beach abonise okona kunyuka komthamo omkhulu wesikhongozeli kukonke, ngelixa amazibuko aseNew York/eNew Jersey nase-Savannah aye ancipha kakhulu.
Ngelixa imbalela ePanama ichaphazela ukuthuthwa kweenqanawa, umthamo wokungenisa isikhongozeli wase-US awubonakali unempembelelo. Imiqulu kumachweba aseGulf kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo sele ikwinqanaba eliphezulu kulo nyaka kwaye amaxesha okuhamba aye aphantsi ngokuqhubekayo.
Ukungeniswa ngaphandle kweTshayina ngo-Agasti ka-2023 kukhule, iDescartes inike ingxelo: Kukho ukonyuka nge-1.5 yeepesenti ngaphezulu kukaJulayi ka-2023, kodwa besehla ngeepesenti ezili-17.1 ukusuka kwi-A.ngo-Agasti 2022 phezulu. I-China imele i-37.9 yeepesenti ye-US epheleleyo ye-container ethunyelwa ngaphandle ngo-Agasti, i-0.4 yepesenti encinci ukusuka ngoJulayi, kodwa isehla nge-3.6 yeepesenti ukusuka phezulu kwiipesenti ezingama-41.5 ngoFebruwari 2022.
Izinga lentsingiselo
Abathwali bebezabalaza ukuzinzisa okanye ukonyusa amaxabiso, ngokutsho kweFreightos. Amazinga e-Transpacific ukuya kuNxweme oluseNtshona luye lwehla kancinci - malunga neepesenti ze-7 ngoSeptemba - kwaye amaxabiso kwi-East Coast aye malunga nenqanaba. Olu zinzo lunxulumeneyo ngoSeptemba - nangona ezi zilinganiso, kunye nemithamo ephakanyisiweyo, zisaququzelelwa ngokuyinxenye zizithintelo ezibalulekileyo zomthamo ngabathwali-zinokuthi zibonise ukungaguquguquki kwimiqulu eqikelelweyo yi-NRF kunye nokuba nokwenzeka kwencopho ephakathi kodwa ezinzileyo ukuya ngo-Okthobha.
Kodwa amaxabiso okunciphisa - nokuba sehla kancinci - kwiiveki nje ngaphambi kweVeki yeGolide xa kukho uxinzelelo olunyukayo kumaxabiso, kunye neengxelo ezininzi ze-anecdotal zokuhla kokubhukisha elwandle, zikhomba kwelinye icala, utshilo uFreightos.
Kwi-webinar yohlaziyo lwemarike yamva nje, uRobert Khachatryan, i-CEO yomthengisi weFreight Right Logistics, uthe abathengi abaninzi banika ingxelo "yehla kwii-odolo kunye nolindelo lokuhla kwenkcitho yabathengi kwi-Q4," kunye nokuwa kwamaxabiso omthwalo ngaphambi kweVeki yeGolide kuphela. kongezelela kwintandabuzo yokuba incopho yalo nyaka iya kuqhubeka de kube ngoSeptemba okanye emva koko.
Ukuba imfuno iyancipha njengoko umthamo uqhubeka ukhula, abathwali baya kujongana nemingeni eyongezelelweyo yokugcina amaxabiso aphezulu.
Umthamo ogqithisileyo emarikeni unyanzela abanye ukuba bangenzi nto iinqanawa ezinkulu ezitsha nangaphambi kohambo lwabo lokuqala lokusuka e-Asiya ukuya eYurophu. Amaxabiso kulo mzila wehla ngeepesenti ezisi-8 kwiveki ephelileyo ukuya kwi-1,608/FEU, utshilo uFreightos, nangona amaxabiso ahlala ngaphezulu kwenqanaba le-2019. Ukuphendula, abathwali babhengeza iiseyile ezongezelelekileyo ezingenanto nakwiveki ezisemva kweholide yeVeki yeGolide, becebisa ukuba imfuno kulindeleke ukuba yehle kwiiveki eziqhelekileyo zase-Asiya - iN.
Nangona imiqulu yolwandle kuxelwe ukuba ihlala yomelele e-Asiya-urhwebo lweMeditera, amaxabiso ayehla. Oku kwehla kusenokwenzeka ukuba kuqhutywa ngabathwali bongeza umthamo omninzi kakhulu kwiinyanga zamva nje njengoko imfuno ibonakaliswe ukuba inokomelela; ngoku basusa umthamo wokuzama ukudibanisa imiqulu.
Abathwali ngokufanayo batshintshe iinqanawa ezininzi kakhulu ukuya kurhwebo oluwela iAtlantiki ixesha elininzi kulo nyaka nanjengoko umthamo wehlileyo, kwaye amaxabiso ebehle kakhulu kulo nyaka uphelileyo ngenxa yoko. I-Freightos ifumene amazinga ehle enye i-7 yeepesenti kwiveki ephelileyo ukuya ngaphantsi kwe-$ 1,100 / FEU - i-45 yeepesenti ephantsi kuno-2019 - kwaye abathwali babhengeze ukunyuka okubalulekileyo kwiinqanawa ezingenanto ukuzama ukutyhala amaxabiso abuyele phezulu.
Iimpawu zonyaka wencopho yolwandle ethe cwaka zikhokelela ekubeni kungabikho themba malunga nokomelela kwesantya somthwalo womoya kwiinyanga ezizayo, uFreightos waqukumbela ngelitshoyo. Ngeli xesha, uKhachatryan unika ingxelo yokubona "ukwanda kwemfuno yokubhukisha umoya ocacileyo kwezi veki zimbalwa zidlulileyo," ezithi, kunye nokubuya okucothayo kwezokhenketho e-China kungongezi umthamo wabakhweli xa kuthelekiswa neminye imimandla emininzi, kunokubangela Iipesenti ze-37 zonyuka e-China - i-N. America Freightos Air Index rates ukuya kwi-$ 4.78 / kg ukususela ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti.
Eyoqobo esukaEPSNews-Iqhutyelwe phambili, NgeDesika yeNdaba
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-14-2023